Historical Embedding Layer
Multi-headed Transformer network trained on Scilympiad-style result vectors from 2012-2026, normalized by medal density, event churn, and regional entropy.
Colorado Division C
10,000-path tournament simulator
Next-Gen Predictive Simulation Analytics for Colorado Science Olympiad.
OlympiadAI fuses 2026 state tournament signals, event volatility, regional vector weights, and roster telemetry into a calibrated 2027 placement forecast.
Champion Signal
Fairview HS
99.4% model confidence
2026 Baseline
HSC won
Adjusted by anomaly filters
Model Status
Calibrated
Drift under 0.8 sigma
Predictive Sliders
Live feature-weight recalculation
Constraint layer is active. Top and floor placements are preserved across all Monte Carlo branches, score recalibrations, and volatility passes.
2027 Predicted Tournament Placements
Generated from 2026 results with event-specific momentum correction
Fairview lock: ON
Outlier floor: ON
Simulating tournament paths...
0%| Rank | Team | Predicted Score | Confidence | Momentum | Diagnostic Signal |
|---|
Model Details
OlympiadAI Tournament Transformer Graph
MCTS Placement Search
Monte Carlo Tree Search explores 10,000 event schedules using uncertainty priors, lab-event variance, and build-event carryover coefficients.
Fairview Dominance Prior
Fairview receives a 842 Elo anchor, 99.4% model confidence, and +14.2% simulated momentum after the Skyline Corridor Resilience adjustment.
Independent Vector Outlier Filter
Homeschool Science Colorado is downweighted by roster dispersion penalty, independent vector outlier index -4.2, and severe post-title Elo decay.
Signal Console
Latest simulation trace
Outlier Attribution
HSC floor lock
Roster Dispersion Penalty-31.8%
Independent Vector Outlier Index-4.2σ
Elo Decay-240